St. Louis Cardinals

Ramón Urías Stolen Bases

Stats updated: May 3, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Ramón Urías has gone over 0.5 SB in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: Mexico
Experience: 7 seasons

Line

PrizePicksStolen Bases · season avg 0.0 SB · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

Injured ListRamón Urías isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Elbow Tendinitis
Est. return:: Aug 7, 2026

Urias still has inflammation in his elbow as a result of the hit-by-pitch, and he also required stitches for his right ankle when the ball struck the area after deflecting off his elbow. The veteran infielder has been out since early May with tennis elbow in both arms.

Verdict

vs 0.5 SBStolen Bases

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

0.0 SB(×1.07 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2018 games

0%over

0 over · 18 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–18%

Season18 games

0%over

0 over · 18 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–18%

Alternate lines — Stolen Bases (SB)

SB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate SB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/18
	0%	0/18
	0%	0/18
	0%	0/18

Last 18 games — SB per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 SB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/11Medium

Away0%0/7Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/4Low

1 day0%0/8Medium

2 days0%0/4Low

3+ days0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs COL

Aug 8, 2026

8thof 30 in SB allowed to hitters

COL pitching allows 0.8 SB per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 116 games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Ramón Urías has gone over 0.5 SB 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. COL has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 8th-most SB of 30 teams (0.8 per game). His game-to-game SB have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Busch Stadium · St. Louis Cardinals

neutral (runs ×0.97, HR ×0.92)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.