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Houston AstrosSteven Okert
#48 · P · 6-2 · 202 lb · 68 games
Stats updated: Aug 31, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 1.0 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListSteven Okert isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Sep 29, 2026
Okert has been dealing with a hamstring strain since Sept. 4 and isn't scheduled to resume throwing off a mound until next week. He'll then require additional bullpen sessions and PFP drills before being cleared to return, and there simply won't be enough time to squeeze all of that in before the regular season ends Sept. 27. The door is still open for him to return at some point during the postseason if the Astros secure a spot.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)93supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.9 K
L5 0.8 · L10 0.8 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
65%over
13 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 43%–82%Season68 games
65%over
44 over · 24 under
High confidence95% CI 53%–75%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 65% | 44/68 | |
| 28% | 19/68 | ||
| 7% | 5/68 | ||
| 0% | 0/68 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home83%29/35High
Away45%15/33Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)57%8/14Low
1 day63%17/27Medium
2 days70%14/20Medium
3+ days67%4/6Low
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Carlos Correa out · Left Ankle Surgery+0.5 K when he sits
Without (51g)
1.1 K
71% over 0.5
With (17g)
0.6 K
47% over 0.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Steven Okert has gone over 0.5 K 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 65% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Daikin Park · Houston Astros
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.02)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 65%.