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AthleticsThomas White
#47 · 3B · 6-0 · 220 lb · 19 games
Stats updated: Aug 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 1.1 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 58% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
0.8 H(×0.91 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 1.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2019 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Season19 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 47% | 9/19 | |
| 32% | 6/19 | ||
| 16% | 3/19 | ||
| 11% | 2/19 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%3/9Low
Away60%6/10Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)47%7/15Low
1 day33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Shea Langeliers out · Right Knee Surgery-0.4 H when he sits
Without (13g)
0.9 H
38% over 0.5
With (6g)
1.3 H
67% over 0.5
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer out · Not Specified Groin Surgery-0.7 H when he sits
Without (16g)
0.9 H
44% over 0.5
With (3g)
1.7 H
67% over 0.5
Next matchup — @ BOS
Aug 8, 2026
20thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
BOS pitching allows 8.0 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 115 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Thomas White has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 47% across the full season. BOS has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 20th-most H of 30 teams (8.0 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Sutter Health Park · Athletics
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.03)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.