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Arizona DiamondbacksTyler Locklear
#31 · 1B · 6-2 · 235 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Aug 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.8 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListTyler Locklear isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Thumb Fracture
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Locklear ended up being a casualty of the 26-man active roster after the Diamondbacks needed to clear a spot for outfielder Jordan Lawlar's (hamstring) return from the 10-day injured list. After being recalled from Reno on July 17, Locklear served mainly as a short-side platoon player during his time with Arizona, batting .278/.357/.444 with one home run, one stolen base, six RBI and eight runs in 15 games. He'll get the chance to play on a more regular basis at Triple-A.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 45% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line45neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.6 H(×0.90 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.8 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 18% | 2/11 | ||
| 9% | 1/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home80%4/5Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%2/4Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
Last matchup — @ ATL
Aug 14, 2026
25thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
ATL pitching allows 7.8 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 155 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyler Locklear has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. ATL has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 25th-most H of 30 teams (7.8 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Chase Field · Arizona Diamondbacks
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.03)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.