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Indianapolis ColtsAnthony Richardson Sr.
#5 · QB · 6' 4" · 244 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Oct 5, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Florida
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 9.0 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAnthony Richardson Sr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Richardson is competing with second-year pro Riley Leonard for the No. 2 role behind starter Daniel Jones. Richardson and Leonard are reportedly "neck and neck right now," according to offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter. Both quarterbacks are expected to continue to rotate reps between the second- and third-team offenses, and GM Chris Ballard said Tuesday that it is his intent to carry Jones, Richardson and Leonard on the Colts' roster when it is cut to 53 players on Aug. 30.
Verdict
vs 8.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
9.0 PASS YDS
L5 9.0 · L10 9.0 · med 9.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 9.0 · ceil 9.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 8.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Last matchup — vs LV
Oct 5, 2025
23rdof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
LV allows 199.6 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 18 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Anthony Richardson Sr. has gone over 8.5 PASS YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 23rd-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (199.6 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.