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New Orleans SaintsBarion Brown
#19 · WR · 5' 11" · 177 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- LSU
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 57.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBarion Brown isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Brown had the most productive game of his NFL career thus far, catching more passes than he had in his previous five appearances combined. The 2026 No. 190 overall pick should continue to get consistent work on special teams. However, despite the recent uptick in offensive snaps, it's unknown if Brown will continue to be more involved as a pass catcher moving forward.
Verdict
vs 56.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line5argues against it
Consistency100supports it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
52.8 REC YDS(×0.93 context)
L5 57.0 · L10 57.0 · med 57.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 57.0 · ceil 57.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 56.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 56.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs CLE
Nov 8, 2026
26thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CLE allows 37.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 29 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Barion Brown has gone over 56.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CLE has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 26th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (37.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.