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New York GiantsBeaux Collins
#81 · WR · 6' 3" · 206 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Oct 26, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Notre Dame
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 12.5 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
QuestionableQuestionableConfirm Beaux Collins's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Concussion Not Specified
It appears Collins has still not returned to full health after missing the Giants' final eight games last season with a neck injury and a concussion. The Notre Dame product caught two of six targets for 25 yards across nine contests in 2025, contributing on both offense (84 snaps) and special teams (110 snaps). Once fully healthy, Collins is expected to compete for a similar role ahead of the 2026 campaign.
Verdict
vs 12.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 4/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency27argues against it
Projection
12.8 REC YDS
L5 12.5 · L10 12.5 · med 12.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.2 · ceil 15.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 12.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ PHI
Oct 26, 2025
20thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
PHI allows 40.9 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 62 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Beaux Collins has gone over 12.5 REC YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. PHI has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 20th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (40.9 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.