NFL Heat Check
The strongest recent-form reads across the most active NFL players, ranked by our sample-size-adjusted FireFactor. Lines are our own book-style half-point line, centered on each player’s typical game — not a sportsbook’s posted number. Filter to this week’s slate or a single matchup, and open a player to enter your own line and odds.
No NFL games are scheduled right now (likely the off-season), so live reads aren’t available. Here are the season’s NFL leaders instead, or browse all NFL players.
NFL Passing Yards leaders — this season
All leaders →- 1
Matthew StaffordOutLAR · QB · 20 games282.1 PASS YDS - 2
Jared GoffDET · QB · 17 games268.5 PASS YDS - 3
Dak PrescottOutDAL · QB · 17 games267.8 PASS YDS - 4
Patrick MahomesQuestionableKC · QB · 14 games256.2 PASS YDS - 5
Drake MayeOutNE · QB · 21 games248.7 PASS YDS - 6
Jacoby BrissettOutARI · QB · 14 games240.4 PASS YDS - 7
Caleb WilliamsOutCHI · QB · 19 games240.0 PASS YDS - 8
Daniel JonesOutIND · QB · 13 games238.5 PASS YDS - 9
Sam DarnoldOutSEA · QB · 20 games236.0 PASS YDS - 10
Josh AllenOutBUF · QB · 18 games234.7 PASS YDS - 11
Trevor LawrenceOutJAX · QB · 18 games234.1 PASS YDS - 12
Bo NixOutDEN · QB · 18 games233.9 PASS YDS - 13
Brock PurdySF · QB · 11 games233.5 PASS YDS - 14
Jordan LoveGB · QB · 16 games231.5 PASS YDS - 15
Justin HerbertOutLAC · QB · 17 games228.6 PASS YDS - 16
Joe BurrowOutCIN · QB · 8 games226.1 PASS YDS - 17
Michael Penix Jr.QuestionableATL · QB · 9 games220.2 PASS YDS - 18
C.J. StroudOutHOU · QB · 16 games218.9 PASS YDS - 19
Baker MayfieldOutTB · QB · 17 games217.2 PASS YDS - 20
Tyler ShoughOutNO · QB · 11 games216.7 PASS YDS - 21
Aaron RodgersOutPIT · QB · 17 games204.0 PASS YDS - 22
Geno SmithOutNYJ · QB · 15 games201.7 PASS YDS - 23
Jalen HurtsOutPHI · QB · 17 games199.5 PASS YDS - 24
Lamar JacksonOutBAL · QB · 13 games196.1 PASS YDS - 25
Bryce YoungCAR · QB · 17 games192.6 PASS YDS - 26
Joe FlaccoCIN · QB · 13 games190.7 PASS YDS - 27
Tua TagovailoaOutATL · QB · 14 games190.0 PASS YDS - 28
Cam WardOutTEN · QB · 17 games186.4 PASS YDS - 29
Jayden DanielsOutWSH · QB · 7 games180.3 PASS YDS - 30
Mac JonesOutSF · QB · 12 games179.6 PASS YDS - 31
Spencer RattlerOutNO · QB · 9 games176.2 PASS YDS - 32
Shedeur SandersOutCLE · QB · 8 games175.0 PASS YDS - 33
Kirk CousinsOutLV · QB · 10 games172.1 PASS YDS - 34
Marcus MariotaWSH · QB · 10 games169.5 PASS YDS - 35
J.J. McCarthyOutMIN · QB · 10 games163.2 PASS YDS - 36
Jaxson DartOutNYG · QB · 14 games162.3 PASS YDS - 37
Davis MillsOutHOU · QB · 6 games152.5 PASS YDS - 38
Justin FieldsOutKC · QB · 9 games139.9 PASS YDS - 39
Russell WilsonNYG · QB · 6 games138.5 PASS YDS - 40
Tyrod TaylorGB · QB · 6 games129.8 PASS YDS - 41
Dillon GabrielOutCLE · QB · 10 games93.7 PASS YDS - 42
Mason RudolphOutPIT · QB · 6 games52.0 PASS YDS - 43
Max BrosmerMIN · QB · 7 games46.9 PASS YDS - 44
Kenny PickettOutCAR · QB · 6 games31.3 PASS YDS - 45
Taysom HillNO · QB · 13 games4.4 PASS YDS
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Descriptive research from public game logs, ranked by a sample-size–adjusted FireFactor (recent hit rate vs the line, discounted for thin samples via a 95% Wilson interval) — not predictions, picks, or betting advice. We don’t track who’s active; confirm lineups, scratches, and injuries yourself.