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New York JetsBrady Cook
#4 · QB · 6' 2" · 215 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Missouri
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 147.8 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrady Cook isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Cook got to audition as the Jets' starting quarterback down the stretch in 2025, but the undrafted rookie out of Missouri struggled to a 2:7 TD:INT across five appearances (four starts). The Jets traded for Smith and have already proclaimed the veteran to be their starting quarterback. They also drafted Klubnik out of Clemson, who has thrown the ball well in drills and impressed with his leadership skills. The team could still opt to bring in a veteran backup QB, but as things stand, Cook should get a chance during training camp and the preseason to compete for the top backup role against Klubnik and Bailey Zappe.
Verdict
vs 162.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 38% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line38argues against it
Consistency49neutral
Projection
139.2 PASS YDS
L5 147.8 · L10 147.8 · med 163.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 133.6 · ceil 178.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 162.5Current | 60% | 3/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 162.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Last matchup — @ BUF
Jan 4, 2026
32ndof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
BUF allows 169.0 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 20 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 5 games, Brady Cook has gone over 162.5 PASS YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. BUF has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 32nd-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (169.0 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 45.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.