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San Francisco 49ersBrayden Willis
#82 · TE · 6' 4" · 240 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Sep 14, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oklahoma
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 0.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrayden Willis isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Willis will occupy the spot on the 53-man roster vacated by Alfred Collins (knee, IR). The former's addition to the active roster provides extra depth at tight end, with Jake Tonges expected to be sidelined for an extended period of time due to a knee injury he sustained in the 49ers' Week 1 win over the Rams. Willis has appeared in 23 regular-season games since being selected by the 49ers in the seventh round of the 2023 NFL Draft, with the Oklahoma product mostly serving as a contributor on special teams and as an occasional blocker on offense.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Projection
0.0 REC YDS(×1.08 context)
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 101 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 201 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Season1 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away0%0/1Low
Next matchup — vs ARI
Sep 27, 2026
19thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
ARI allows 21.0 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 1 games, Brayden Willis has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. ARI has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 19th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (21.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.