Loading…
Dallas CowboysBrevyn Spann-Ford
#89 · TE · 6' 6" · 265 lb · 11 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 10 of these 11 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Minnesota
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 9.5 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutBrevyn Spann-Ford isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Spann-Ford is the No. 2 tight end behind Jake Ferguson, but the secondary option outperformed Ferguson by eight receiving yards in Sunday's contest. Spann-Ford played 13 offensive snaps and 11 special-teams snaps, contributing to the Cowboys in both phases to the start the season.
Verdict
vs 7.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 35% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it
Projection vs line35argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
16.5 REC YDS(×1.19 context)
L5 16.4 · L10 10.4 · med 5.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 14.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2011 games
36%over
4 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%Season11 games
36%over
4 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%Situational splits
Over 7.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/3Low
Away50%4/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%4/10Low
Next matchup — vs BAL
Sep 27, 2026
18thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
BAL allows 21.8 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brevyn Spann-Ford has gone over 7.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 36% across the full season. BAL has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 18th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (21.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 10.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.