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Dallas CowboysBrevyn Spann-Ford
#89 · TE · 6' 6" · 265 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Minnesota
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 9.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrevyn Spann-Ford isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Spann-Ford appeared in all 17 games for the Cowboys for the second straight season in 2025, so it's reasonable to anticipate he'll play a role in the offense again in 2026. However, he spent most of his snaps last year blocking, so there's no guarantee an increased snap count would translate to fantasy reliability.
Verdict
vs 4.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 32% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)77supports it
Projection vs line32argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
15.8 REC YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 14.4 · L10 9.0 · med 4.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.6 · ceil 13.2
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Season10 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 8/10 | ||
| 70% | 7/10 | ||
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 4.5Current | 40% | 4/10 | |
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 30% | 3/10 |
Situational splits
Over 4.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/3Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days44%4/9Low
Last matchup — @ NYG
Jan 4, 2026
12thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
NYG allows 27.7 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 28 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brevyn Spann-Ford has gone over 4.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 12th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (27.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 11.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.