Loading…
Las Vegas RaidersBrock Bowers
#89 · TE · 6' 4" · 235 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Georgia
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 58.6 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrock Bowers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Bowers was plagued by a knee injury during most of the 2025 campaign and was ultimately placed on IR for the final two weeks of the regular season. However, he's been able to get back to full health during the offseason and has several other factors working in his favor ahead of the 2026 campaign. First, he'll be working with a pair of new quarterbacks in Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza, and Cousins was reportedly enthralled with Bowers during spring workouts. Second, the Raiders brought in Klint Kubiak -- "who has shown the ability to scheme the ball to his best pass catchers" -- as their new coach. Third, Las Vegas currently has an untested WR room, so Bowers is likely to feature at the team's top pass catcher.
Verdict
vs 63.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 68% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line68supports it
Consistency12argues against it
Projection
49.9 REC YDS(×0.99 context)
L5 46.8 · L10 58.6 · med 46.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 37.0 · ceil 78.2
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Season10 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 63.5Current | 30% | 3/10 | |
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 30% | 3/10 |
Situational splits
Over 63.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days22%2/9Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kirk Cousins out+26.0 REC YDS when he sits
Without (6g)
69.0 REC YDS
50% over 63.5
With (4g)
43.0 REC YDS
0% over 63.5
Last matchup — @ HOU
Dec 21, 2025
30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
HOU allows 20.8 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 38 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brock Bowers has gone over 63.5 REC YDS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 30% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (20.8 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 31.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 30%.