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Green Bay PackersChris Brooks
#30 · RB · 6' 1" · 219 lb · 7 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 4 of these 7 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- BYU
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 23.1 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutChris Brooks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Ankle Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Nov 15, 2026
Brooks landed on IR in early October and has missed the required four games. He was designated to return Wednesday and was limited in practice all week before drawing a tag of questionable for Sunday's game against New England. The running back didn't end up being activated Saturday, so Brooks isn't eligible to suit up again until at least Sunday, Nov. 15, against Minnesota.
Verdict
vs 20.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
24.1 RUSH YDS(×0.98 context)
L5 28.2 · L10 23.1 · med 21.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 10.2 · ceil 29.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 107 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Last 207 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Season7 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 20.5Current | 57% | 4/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 |
Situational splits
Over 20.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days67%4/6Low
With a teammate out
How this RUSH YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jordan Love out-0.3 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (4g)
23.0 RUSH YDS
50% over 20.5
With (3g)
23.3 RUSH YDS
67% over 20.5
Matthew Golden out-0.3 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (4g)
23.0 RUSH YDS
50% over 20.5
With (3g)
23.3 RUSH YDS
67% over 20.5
Next matchup — vs MIN
Nov 15, 2026
14thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
MIN allows 48.1 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 7 games, Chris Brooks has gone over 20.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. MIN has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 14th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (48.1 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 18.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.