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Green Bay PackersChris Brooks
#30 · RB · 6' 1" · 219 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- BYU
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 13.6 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutChris Brooks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Hamstring Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Aug 13, 2026
Brooks sustained the injury after the 2025 campaign wrapped up, but its severity is still unknown at this point. In his absence, Pierre Strong and 2025 seventh-rounder Damien Martinez could get more looks out of the backfield in practice.
Verdict
vs 5.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 69% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line69supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
20.2 RUSH YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 21.6 · L10 13.6 · med 5.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 19.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 108 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Last 208 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Season8 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 5.5Current | 50% | 4/8 | |
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 50% | 4/8 | ||
| 50% | 4/8 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%1/4Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days57%4/7Low
Last matchup — @ CHI
Jan 11, 2026
2ndof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
CHI allows 59.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 32 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 8 games, Chris Brooks has gone over 5.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 8 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 2nd-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (59.3 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 19.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.