Jacksonville Jaguars

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has gone over 6 FS in 4 of his last 7 decided games (57%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Kentucky
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.5 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutChris Rodriguez Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Rodriguez finished with just two fewer carries than Bhayshul Tuten, who came into the game managing ankle and foot injuries and was able to log a relatively abbreviated workload thanks to game script. Both backs had plenty of trouble against Baltimore's stout run defense, but Rodriguez salvaged his fantasy night with a two-yard TD run just past the midway point of the fourth quarter. Rodriguez now has scored in back-to-back games heading into a Week 10 road matchup against the Titans on Sunday, Nov. 15.

Verdict

vs 6 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 80% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it

Projection vs line80supports it

Consistency8argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

10.3 FS(×1.20 context)

L5 9.7 · L10 7.5 · med 9.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 2.9 · ceil 10.9

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 107 games

57%over

4 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%

Last 207 games

57%over

4 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%

Season7 games

57%over

4 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	71%	5/7
	71%	5/7
	71%	5/7
6Current	57%	4/7
	57%	4/7
	57%	4/7
	57%	4/7

Last 7 games — FS per game vs. line 6.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 6 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%2/4Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days67%4/6Low

Next matchup — @ TEN

Nov 15, 2026

15thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

TEN allows 10.5 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 16 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 7 games, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has gone over 6 FS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. TEN has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 15th-most FS of 32 teams (10.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.