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Los Angeles RamsColby Parkinson
#84 · TE · 6' 7" · 266 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 20.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutColby Parkinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Parkinson, who was inactive in Week 8, managed to log a limited practice Friday, before being listed as questionable for the contest. With Terrance Ferguson (ankle/hamstring) -- who was initially slated to return to action this week but subsequently ruled out -- still not in the mix, the return of Parkinson, who has caught five passes in each of the last two games he played, is a welcome boost to a Rams TE corps that also includes Tyler Higbee, Davis Allen and Max Klare.
Verdict
vs 15.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 32% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line32argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
26.9 REC YDS(×1.12 context)
L5 20.6 · L10 20.6 · med 15.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 5.4 · ceil 34.4
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 15.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%1/4Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ ARI
Nov 15, 2026
11thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
ARI allows 28.1 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 16 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Colby Parkinson has gone over 15.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. ARI has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 11th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (28.1 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 16.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.