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Los Angeles RamsColby Parkinson
#84 · TE · 6' 7" · 266 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 43.8 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutColby Parkinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
During the 2025 regular season, Parkinson made his mark by catching 43 of his 56 targets for 408 yards and eight TDs in 15 contests. Though Los Angeles' current TE room is crowded, with Tyler Higbee, Terrance Ferguson, Max Klare and Davis Allen also in the mix, DaSilva relays that Parkinson should be the Rams' primary inline tight end once again and will almost always be on the field when the team deploys TE-heavy sets. In that context, the 27-year-old retains a modest degree of fantasy utility in a passing attack that continues to feature high-volume WRs Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, in particular if Parkinson retains a key red-zone role in 2026.
Verdict
vs 41.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 34% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)73supports it
Projection vs line34argues against it
Consistency43neutral
Projection
52.1 REC YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 48.2 · L10 43.7 · med 38.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 32.4 · ceil 55.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Season12 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 41.5Current | 42% | 5/12 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 |
Situational splits
Over 41.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away44%4/9Low
Days since last game
3+ days36%4/11Low
Last matchup — @ SEA
Jan 25, 2026
3rdof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
SEA allows 33.6 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 35 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Colby Parkinson has gone over 41.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 42% across the full season. SEA has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 3rd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (33.6 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 14.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.