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Atlanta FalconsCooper Rush
#15 · QB · 6' 3" · 224 lb · 3 games
Stats updated: Oct 12, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Central Michigan
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 101.0 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutCooper Rush isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Rush lands with the Falcons to open training camp, giving the team another option at quarterback with both Tua Tagovailoa (back tightness) and Michael Penix (ACL) currently managing injuries. Tagovailoa is expected to return next week, but in the meantime, Rush and undrafted rookie Jack Strand will handle a substantial amount of reps at practice.
Verdict
vs 71.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency8argues against it
Projection
101.3 PASS YDS
L5 101.0 · L10 101.0 · med 72.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 60.0 · ceil 136.2
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 53 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 103 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 203 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Season3 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 71.5Current | 67% | 2/3 | |
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 |
Situational splits
Over 71.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%2/2Low
Away0%0/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%2/2Low
Last matchup — vs LAR
Oct 12, 2025
16thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
LAR allows 219.4 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 22 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 3 games, Cooper Rush has gone over 71.5 PASS YDS 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. LAR has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 16th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (219.4 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 55.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.