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New York GiantsDarius Slayton
#18 · WR · 6' 1" · 198 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Auburn
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 46.1 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDarius Slayton isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Slayton's return from offseason core muscle surgery was understandably overshadowed by Malik Nabers' presence on the practice field. With Nabers likely absent or limited for at least a few more weeks, the top candidates for first-team reps at WR are Slayton, Darnell Mooney and Calvin Austin. The Giants also have third-round pick Malachi Fields and veterans Odell Beckham and JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Verdict
vs 40.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency35argues against it
Projection
49.1 REC YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 50.6 · L10 44.6 · med 38.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 31.0 · ceil 61.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 40.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 |
Situational splits
Over 40.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%5/10Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Cam Skattebo out+14.1 REC YDS when he sits
Without (6g)
52.5 REC YDS
67% over 40.5
With (5g)
38.4 REC YDS
40% over 40.5
Last matchup — vs DAL
Jan 4, 2026
1stof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
DAL allows 52.5 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 56 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Darius Slayton has gone over 40.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. DAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 1st-most REC YDS of 32 teams (52.5 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 17.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.