
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Dohnte Meyers has gone over 3.5 TGT in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
With Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins both fully healthy, Meyers played just 20 of 53 offensive snaps and ran 16 routes on Joe Burrow's 32 dropbacks. Outside of his 7-82-0 receiving performance in Week 4 against the Jaguars, Meyers has totaled six catches for 59 yards in the other five games.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 3.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Over 3.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
ATL allows 6.4 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 23 player-games
FavorableOver his last 5 games, Dohnte Meyers has gone over 3.5 TGT 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. ATL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 5th-most TGT of 32 teams (6.4 per game). His game-to-game TGT have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.