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Arizona CardinalsElijah Higgins
#84 · TE · 6' 3" · 245 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 25.2 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutElijah Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Wideout Michael Wilson missed a portion of the contest due to an injury to his ribs, and Kendrick Bourne (lower leg) exited for good late in the first half. That resulted in a need for other Cardinals pass catchers to step up, and Higgins ended up getting targeted a season-high four times. However, he didn't do much with the opportunity, finishing with his lowest yardage total since he was shut out in Week 2. Meanwhile, No. 1 tight end Trey McBride had another big game with seven catches for 72 yards and a touchdown on eight targets. McBride's elite status will likely continue to make Higgins an afterthought most weeks.
Verdict
vs 13.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 72% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line72supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
21.0 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 26.2 · L10 25.2 · med 19.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 17.0 · ceil 28.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 106 games
83%over
5 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%Last 206 games
83%over
5 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%Season6 games
83%over
5 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%Situational splits
Over 13.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%2/2Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days80%4/5Low
Next matchup — @ SEA
Nov 8, 2026
20thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
SEA allows 23.5 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, Elijah Higgins has gone over 13.5 REC YDS 5 of 6 decided times (83%) — versus 83% across the full season. SEA has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 20th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (23.5 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 15.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 13.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.0%
Best Over
Caesars-112
-5.4% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-114
-6.1% EV
Model vs market (over)+21.5%
Our model puts the over at 71.5% vs the market's no-vig 50.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (13.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 83%.