
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Erick All Jr. has gone over 5.5 FS in 1 of his last 2 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
All, who sustained the injury in Sunday's win over the Ravens, has now torn the ACL in his right knee three times during his career. He first tore the ACL during his final collegiate season at Iowa in 2023, then had his 2024 rookie campaign with the Bengals cut short after damaging the ligament again. Given the timing of the injury along with the fact that he'll be working his way back from a third surgery of the same knee, All is far from guaranteed to be ready to play when the 2027 season gets underway.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 2/2 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 5.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 0% | 0/3 | ||
| 0% | 0/3 | ||
| 0% | 0/3 |
Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
ATL allows 7.4 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
FavorableOver his last 3 games, Erick All Jr. has gone over 5.5 FS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. ATL has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 10th-most FS of 32 teams (7.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.