Seattle Seahawks

George Holani Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Feb 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

George Holani has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 1 of his last 3 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Boise State
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.3 RUSH TD · our line

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OutGeorge Holani isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Holani was often the first RB up for first-team reps during OTAs, and at this stage he and Price appear to have cemented themselves atop the depth chart, with Zach Charbonnet (ACL) on the active/PUP list and Emanuel Wilson seemingly in a depth role. Seahawks coaches have reportedly stressed Price growing as a pass catcher, but unless the rookie is able to make rapid improvements throughout camp, Holani could be the favorite for third-down reps come Week 1. The early-season workload split beyond that point seems like it will come down to a true competition between Price and Holani, though once Charbonnet is cleared to return Seattle could end up deploying all three to some extent.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 71% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it

Projection vs line71supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.3 RUSH TD

L5 0.3 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.6

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 53 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Last 103 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Last 203 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Season3 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	33%	1/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3

Last 3 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home33%1/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%1/2Low

Last matchup — vs LAR

Jan 25, 2026

28thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

LAR allows 0.2 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 38 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 3 games, George Holani has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 1 of 3 decided times (33%) — versus 33% across the full season. LAR has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 28th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.2 per game). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.