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Pittsburgh SteelersGermie Bernard Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Germie Bernard fantasy score (prizepicks) hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.5 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutGermie Bernard isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The rookie second-rounder operated as the WR3 due to the absence of Michael Pittman (foot). Aaron Rodgers struggled at Gillette Stadium, but Bernard did his part by leading the Steelers pass catchers in receiving yards while finishing second in catches behind Roman Wilson (five) and second in targets to DK Metcalf (nine). Pittman's status for Week 3 against the Bengals on Sept. 27 is up in the air, but even if he was ruled out, Bernard's production (along with the other Steelers pass catchers) will be capped unless Rodgers improves his play.
Verdict
vs 7.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
6.9 FS(×0.92 context)
L5 7.5 · L10 7.5 · med 7.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 7.5 · ceil 7.5
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
—over
0 over · 0 under · 1 push
No decided games at this lineLast 101 game
—over
0 over · 0 under · 1 push
No decided games at this lineLast 201 game
—over
0 over · 0 under · 1 push
No decided games at this lineSeason1 game
—over
0 over · 0 under · 1 push
No decided games at this lineAlternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 7.5Current | — | — | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 7.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away—0/0Low
Next matchup — vs CIN
Sep 27, 2026
26thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
CIN allows 7.2 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 7 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Germie Bernard has no recent decided games against a 7.5 FS line. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 26th-most FS of 32 teams (7.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.
More Germie Bernard research
Germie Bernard — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Bernard Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Bernard Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Bernard Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.