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Cleveland BrownsIsaiah Bond
#0 · WR · 5' 11" · 180 lb · 11 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 11 of these 11 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Texas
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 26.9 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 15.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
24.7 REC YDS(×0.83 context)
L5 35.6 · L10 29.0 · med 17.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 6.0 · ceil 58.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 15.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%6/10Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
25thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CAR allows 35.5 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Isaiah Bond has gone over 15.5 REC YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 55% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (35.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 27.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.