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Cleveland BrownsIsaiah Bond
#16 · WR · 5' 11" · 180 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Texas
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 26.9 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutIsaiah Bond isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
According to Oyefusi, Bond led the team in targets during spring practices and "continued to display his speed" while also making "a bunch of contested catches." Cleveland used early draft picks on wide receivers KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston back in April, and the team also still employs Jerry Jeudy (hamstring) and Cedric Tillman, so it's unclear how this wideout depth chart is going to shake out over the summer. Bond is putting himself in the mix after securing just 18 of 44 targets for 338 yards and no touchdowns across 16 regular-season games as a rookie last season.
Verdict
vs 15.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
26.9 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 35.6 · L10 29.0 · med 17.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 6.0 · ceil 58.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 15.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%6/10Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Shedeur Sanders out-15.9 REC YDS when he sits
Without (6g)
19.7 REC YDS
50% over 15.5
With (5g)
35.6 REC YDS
60% over 15.5
Dillon Gabriel out+15.2 REC YDS when he sits
Without (5g)
35.2 REC YDS
60% over 15.5
With (6g)
20.0 REC YDS
50% over 15.5
Last matchup — @ CIN
Jan 4, 2026
23rdof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CIN allows 39.0 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 47 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Isaiah Bond has gone over 15.5 REC YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 55% across the full season. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 23rd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (39.0 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 27.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.