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Detroit LionsJacob Saylors
#25 · RB · 5' 11" · 195 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Sep 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- East Tennessee State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 11.0 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJacob Saylors isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Neck Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Nov 15, 2026
Saylors carried a questionable designation heading into this contest, though he won't be on the field in Week 9, marking his first absence of the 2026 campaign. With Sione Vaki (ankle) available, Saylors likely wouldn't have been very involved, regardless.
Verdict
vs 10.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
11.5 RUSH YDS(×1.04 context)
L5 11.0 · L10 11.0 · med 11.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 11.0 · ceil 11.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 10.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 10.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs NE
Nov 15, 2026
15thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
NE allows 46.8 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 1 games, Jacob Saylors has gone over 10.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NE has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 15th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (46.8 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.