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Houston TexansJared Wayne
#17 · WR · 6' 3" · 210 lb · 2 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 1 of these 2 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Pittsburgh
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 26.5 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Verdict
vs 13.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsBlazing overFireFactor 79/100· model 99% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency59neutral
Projection
27.4 REC YDS(×1.02 context)
L5 26.5 · L10 26.5 · med 26.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 22.6 · ceil 30.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 52 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Last 102 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Last 202 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Season2 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Situational splits
Over 13.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%1/1Low
Next matchup — @ IND
Sep 27, 2026
11thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
IND allows 53.6 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Jared Wayne has gone over 13.5 REC YDS 2 of 2 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. IND has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 11th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (53.6 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 6.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.