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New York GiantsJaxson Dart Completions
Stats updated: Sep 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jaxson Dart has gone over 20 CMP in 4 of his last 9 decided games (44%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ole Miss
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Completions · season avg 19.3 CMP · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Completions (CMP)
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How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
DoubtfulDoubtfulConfirm Jaxson Dart's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Left Knee - MCL Sprain
The Giants had previously been optimistic that Dart would avoid an extended absence after initial scans following Monday's game suggested that he sustained an MCL sprain in his knee, but follow-up tests appear to have revealed more significant damage. Dart is likely to seek out additional medical opinions before deciding on a treatment plan for his injury, but if surgery is deemed necessary, he would likely be lost for the remainder of the 2026 campaign. Jameis Winston is poised to direct the Giants offense in Week 3 versus the Titans and could be in line for an extended run as the team's starting quarterback.
Verdict
vs 20 CMPCompletionsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 46% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)61supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency65supports it
Projection
21.0 CMP(×1.02 context)
L5 20.8 · L10 19.3 · med 19.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 15.4 · ceil 22.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Doubtful — likely sidelined; confirm status first.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 1010 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 2012 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season12 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Situational splits
Over 20 CMP by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%5/10Low
Next matchup — @ LAR
Sep 22, 2026
21stof 32 in CMP allowed to quarterbacks
LAR allows 18.0 CMP per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jaxson Dart has gone over 20 CMP 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 45% across the full season. LAR has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 21st-most CMP of 32 teams (18.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game CMP have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 4.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Completions (CMP)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (19.75 CMP). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.
More Jaxson Dart research
Jaxson Dart — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Dart Passing TDs→
Passing TDs hit rates and trends.
Dart Rushing Yards→
Rushing Yards hit rates and trends.
Dart Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.