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Philadelphia EaglesJaydon Blue
#30 · RB · 5' 9" · 198 lb · 4 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 4 of these 4 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Texas
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 32.3 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJaydon Blue isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
It was the running back's first action of the regular season after he was signed to the active roster last week. Blue logged eight offensive snaps and sits behind Saquon Barkley and Elijah Mitchell on the depth chart. With Tank Bigsby (IR, abdomen) likely due back in the near future, Blue's stay on the 53-man roster could be short.
Verdict
vs 29.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 46% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
35.4 RUSH YDS
L5 32.3 · L10 32.3 · med 29.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 20.2 · ceil 43.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 54 games
25%over
1 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%Last 104 games
25%over
1 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%Last 204 games
25%over
1 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%Season4 games
25%over
1 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 3/4 | ||
| 75% | 3/4 | ||
| 75% | 3/4 | ||
| 29.5Current | 25% | 1/4 | |
| 25% | 1/4 | ||
| 25% | 1/4 | ||
| 25% | 1/4 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days33%1/3Low
Last matchup — @ NYG
Jan 4, 2026
9thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
NYG allows 53.2 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 4 games, Jaydon Blue has gone over 29.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 4 decided times (25%) — versus 25% across the full season. NYG has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 9th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (53.2 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 20.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 25%.