
Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jordan James fantasy score (prizepicks) hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.
It's a rough start to training camp for a player that some had tabbed as the favorite for San Francisco's No. 2 RB job. James should be ready well before Week 1, but missed practice time is a big deal for a player in his situation. The Niners currently have third-round pick Kaelon Black and veteran journeymen Patrick Taylor and Sincere McCormick for depth behind Christian McCaffrey.
No decided games at this line yet — no read. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 4.5Current | — | — | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
SEA allows 9.2 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 41 player-games
ToughJordan James has no recent decided games against a 4.5 FS line. SEA has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 32nd-most FS of 32 teams (9.2 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Carries hit rates and trends.
Rushing TDs hit rates and trends.
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Targets hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.