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Jacksonville JaguarsJosh Cameron
#19 · WR · 6' 1" · 224 lb · 4 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Baylor
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 29.3 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutJosh Cameron isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Jacksonville didn't need to go to its air-game much given the easy win, and QB Trevor Lawrence threw just 14 passes. None of those went to Cameron -- his only target (which he didn't catch) came from backup signal-caller Quinn Ewers in garbage time. Cameron did log a season-high 52 percent offensive snap share, but game script didn't do him any favors in terms of production. With no catches in three of his seven games this season, Cameron doesn't make for an appealing fantasy asset.
Verdict
vs 9.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 97% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency23argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
33.7 REC YDS(×1.09 context)
L5 29.3 · L10 29.3 · med 31.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 16.8 · ceil 42.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 54 games
100%over
4 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%Last 104 games
100%over
4 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%Last 204 games
100%over
4 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%Season4 games
100%over
4 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 51%–100%Situational splits
Over 9.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%3/3Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%3/3Low
Next matchup — @ BAL
Nov 6, 2026
3rdof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
BAL allows 56.3 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 24 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 4 games, Josh Cameron has gone over 9.5 REC YDS 4 of 4 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 3rd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (56.3 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 13.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 9.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.2%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.8%
Best Over
BetMGM-115
-6.1% EV
Best Under
Caesars-110
-4.9% EV
Model vs market (over)+46.9%
Our model puts the over at 97.1% vs the market's no-vig 50.2%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (9.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.