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New Orleans SaintsKendre Miller
#5 · RB · 6' 0" · 220 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Oct 19, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- TCU
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 31.0 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKendre Miller isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Miller sustained a torn ACL in Week 7 last season but is 100 percent healthy to begin camp and is competing with Devin Neal for the RB3 role behind Travis Etienne and Alvin Kamara. Miller carried the ball 47 times for 193 yards (4.1 YPC) and one touchdown across seven regular-season appearances in 2025.
Verdict
vs 25.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 65% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line65supports it
Consistency3argues against it
Projection
34.7 RUSH YDS(×1.08 context)
L5 32.4 · L10 31.0 · med 25.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 21.0 · ceil 41.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 25.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 25.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%1/4Low
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Last matchup — vs NE
Oct 12, 2025
29thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
NE allows 41.7 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 36 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Kendre Miller has gone over 25.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NE has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 29th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (41.7 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 18.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.