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Baltimore RavensMatthew Hibner
#88 · TE · 6' 4" · 251 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- SMU
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 13.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutMatthew Hibner isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Hibner played 23 offensive snaps in the contest, shifting into the offense when the Ravens lined up for 13-personnel packages. The fourth-round rookie also played nine special-teams snaps, displaying his versatility.
Verdict
vs 12.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
14.0 REC YDS(×1.08 context)
L5 13.0 · L10 13.0 · med 13.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 13.0 · ceil 13.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 12.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs NO
Sep 20, 2026
13thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
NO allows 26.5 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 1 games, Matthew Hibner has gone over 12.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 13th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (26.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.