Loading…
Tennessee TitansMitchell Trubisky
#11 · QB · 6' 3" · 222 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- North Carolina
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 259.0 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutMitchell Trubisky isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Trubisky had been considered day-to-day due to general tightness, but the veteran backup has recovered from that issue. He's competing against Will Levis for the second spot on the quarterback depth chart behind 2025 first overall pick Cam Ward.
Verdict
vs 258.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
259.0 PASS YDS
L5 259.0 · L10 259.0 · med 259.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 259.0 · ceil 259.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 258.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 258.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Last matchup — vs NYJ
Jan 4, 2026
17thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
NYJ allows 217.0 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 1 games, Mitchell Trubisky has gone over 258.5 PASS YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NYJ has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 17th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (217.0 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.