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Los Angeles ChargersOmarion Hampton
#8 · RB · 6' 0" · 220 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Jan 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- North Carolina
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 65.1 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutOmarion Hampton isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Hampton also mentioned earning a Terrell Davis comp from McDaniel this offseason. There's understandably a lot of hype around the Chargers offense with McDaniel taking over and OTs Joe Alt (foot) and Rashawn Slater (knee) expected to return from last year's season-ending injuries. The situation is indeed promising for Hampton in terms of per-carry efficiency and TD upside, but there's been some doubt about his workload projection after the Chargers gave Keaton Mitchell a two-year, $9.3 million contract this offseason. They also still have Kimani Vidal, but Hampton is the largest of the bunch (6-foot, 220 pounds) and probably also the best pass catcher -- without sacrificing much in terms of speed (4.46 40) or agility. If McDaniel's offense lives up to the hype, Hampton won't need 300 carries to make his fantasy managers happy.
Verdict
vs 65.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency27argues against it
Projection
58.5 RUSH YDS(×0.96 context)
L5 55.0 · L10 65.1 · med 58.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 45.6 · ceil 79.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 108 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Last 208 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Season8 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 65.5Current | 38% | 3/8 | |
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 |
Situational splits
Over 65.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home20%1/5Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days43%3/7Low
Last matchup — vs HOU
Dec 27, 2025
26thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
HOU allows 44.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 31 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 8 games, Omarion Hampton has gone over 65.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 8 decided times (38%) — versus 38% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 26th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (44.3 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 28.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.