Green Bay Packers

Pierre Strong Jr. Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Pierre Strong Jr. has gone over 7 FS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: South Dakota State
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 4.8 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutPierre Strong Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Signed off the practice squad Thursday, Strong made his Packers debut three days later and ended up settling in as the No. 2 option in the backfield behind MarShawn Lloyd, who played just two more snaps but handily out-produced him (10-31-2 rushing line, one catch for six yards). Meanwhile, after committing a costly goal-line fumble in the Week 4 win over the Buccaneers, Kaleb Johnson logged just nine snaps and gained 26 yards on his seven carries. As the more capable option on passing downs, Strong looks like he could continue to work ahead of Johnson while Chris Brooks (ankle) is on injured reserve.

Verdict

vs 7 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

4.9 FS(×1.02 context)

L5 4.8 · L10 4.8 · med 4.8

Consistency

Steady

floor 4.8 · ceil 4.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 7.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 7 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs DAL

Oct 19, 2026

13thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

DAL allows 10.6 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 12 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, Pierre Strong Jr. has gone over 7 FS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. DAL has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 13th-most FS of 32 teams (10.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.