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Pittsburgh SteelersRobert Tonyan
#85 · TE · 6' 5" · 240 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Nov 16, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Indiana State
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 1.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRobert Tonyan isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Coming off the heels of a season in which he suited up for 17 games with Kansas City, Tonyan is now joining his fifth different team in as many years. Pat Freiermuth and Darnell Washington are returning at tight end for the Steelers, but they released veteran Jonnu Smith back in March, so there's room for Tonyan to potentially snag a spot on the 53-man roster for 2026.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
1.0 REC YDS
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 1.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ DEN
Nov 16, 2025
9thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
DEN allows 28.9 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 35 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 1 games, Robert Tonyan has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. DEN has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 9th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (28.9 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.