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New England PatriotsRomeo Doubs
#87 · WR · 6' 2" · 210 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Nevada
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 58.5 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutRomeo Doubs isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
With last season's top wide receiver Stefon Diggs -- who led the team in targets (102), receptions (85) and receiving yards (1,013) -- no longer in the mix, Brown and Doubs now sit atop the Patriots' depth chart, thus boosting QB Drake Maye's supporting cast ahead of the 2026 campaign. With Green Bay in 2025, Doubs put up a 55/724/6 receiving line (on 85 targets) in 16 games, but in his new locale, the 26-year-old has an opportunity to see an uptick in production while profiling more like a high-volume "big" slot in New England's offense, per Lazar.
Verdict
vs 37.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 77% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line77supports it
Consistency11argues against it
Projection
65.3 REC YDS(×0.95 context)
L5 57.2 · L10 60.6 · med 56.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 31.2 · ceil 81.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2012 games
75%over
9 over · 3 under
Medium confidence95% CI 47%–91%Season12 games
75%over
9 over · 3 under
Medium confidence95% CI 47%–91%Situational splits
Over 37.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away86%6/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days73%8/11Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Drake Maye out-19.5 REC YDS when he sits
Without (8g)
52.0 REC YDS
63% over 37.5
With (4g)
71.5 REC YDS
100% over 37.5
Rhamondre Stevenson out-8.7 REC YDS when he sits
Without (9g)
56.3 REC YDS
67% over 37.5
With (3g)
65.0 REC YDS
100% over 37.5
Last matchup — @ CHI
Jan 11, 2026
8thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CHI allows 47.6 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Romeo Doubs has gone over 37.5 REC YDS 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 75% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 8th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (47.6 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 31.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 75%.