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Los Angeles RamsRonnie Rivers
#20 · RB · 5' 9" · 198 lb · 2 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 1 of these 2 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Fresno State
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 30.0 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRonnie Rivers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Calf Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Nov 8, 2026
Rivers suffered a calf injury against the Giants in Week 2 and was placed on IR soon thereafter. He was designated to return to practice this Wednesday and logged a trio of full sessions. Rivers' lack of a designation for Sunday's game suggests he has a legitimate chance of playing, but Los Angeles would need to activate him from injured reserve Saturday in order for that to happen.
Verdict
vs 29.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 51% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency39argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
29.9 RUSH YDS(×1.01 context)
L5 30.0 · L10 30.0 · med 30.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 23.4 · ceil 36.6
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 29.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Next matchup — @ WSH
Nov 8, 2026
26thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
WSH allows 36.7 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 2 games, Ronnie Rivers has gone over 29.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 26th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (36.7 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 11.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.