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Chicago BearsSam Roush
#87 · TE · 6' 5" · 267 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 9.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutSam Roush isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The rookie third-rounder did not record a target in the Bears' Week 1 win over the Panthers, but Roush hauled in a nine-yard pass from Caleb Williams (hamstring) late in the third quarter for the former's first NFL catch. Roush is firmly behind Colston Loveland and Cole Kmet on the depth chart, although those three tight ends, along with the other Bears pass catchers, will all see their scoring floors lowered if Case Keenum is the starting quarterback against the Eagles in Week 3 if Williams and Tyson Bagent (concussion) are both unable to play.
Verdict
vs 8.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
9.0 REC YDS
L5 9.0 · L10 9.0 · med 9.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 9.0 · ceil 9.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 8.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs PHI
Sep 29, 2026
30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
PHI allows 10.5 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Sam Roush has gone over 8.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. PHI has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (10.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.