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Cincinnati BengalsSamaje Perine
#34 · RB · 5' 11" · 240 lb · 10 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 9 of these 10 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oklahoma
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 36.7 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutSamaje Perine isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Perine's three touches were well behind starter Chase Brown's 25, with the former playing 24 of 60 offensive snaps (40.0 percent). Perine's 16-yard catch midway through the third quarter converted a third-and-7 for the Bengals and led to an 18-yard touchdown pass from Joe Burrow to Ja'Marr Chase five plays later. Perine is up to 72 scrimmage yards through two regular-season games and is firmly entrenched as the Bengals' RB2 behind Brown. Up next is a Week 3 AFC North tilt against the Steelers, whose defense gave gave up 119 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries between TreVeyon Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson in a Week 2 loss to the Patriots.
Verdict
vs 16.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 86% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line86supports it
Consistency5argues against it
Projection
36.1 RUSH YDS(×1.05 context)
L5 32.0 · L10 36.7 · med 31.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 24.0 · ceil 42.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
90%over
9 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 60%–98%Last 2010 games
90%over
9 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 60%–98%Season10 games
90%over
9 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 60%–98%Situational splits
Over 16.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%6/6Medium
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days89%8/9Medium
Next matchup — @ PIT
Sep 27, 2026
7thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
PIT allows 58.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Samaje Perine has gone over 16.5 RUSH YDS 9 of 10 decided times (90%) — versus 90% across the full season. PIT has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 7th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (58.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 20.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 90%.