Loading…
Cincinnati BengalsTee Higgins
#5 · WR · 6' 4" · 220 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Clemson
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 63.7 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTee Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Higgins continues to form one of the NFL's top receiving tandems alongside Chase, with Andrei Iosivas still positioned as a capable No. 3 complement. The 27-year-old tallied a 79-1,034-9 receiving line across 14 regular-season appearances in 2025, and with Joe Burrow healthy plus veteran backup Joe Flacco returning, Cincinnati's passing game appears well positioned entering 2026. Higgins inked a four-year, $115 million contract with the Bengals last offseason and will remain in a productive environment for the foreseeable future. Running back Chase Brown and tight end Mike Gesicki will also factor into the passing game, but Higgins and Chase are established as the clear top targets for Burrow.
Verdict
vs 61.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency25argues against it
Projection
65.2 REC YDS(×0.99 context)
L5 62.4 · L10 64.5 · med 62.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 32.0 · ceil 92.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 7/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 55% | 6/11 | ||
| 61.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 |
Situational splits
Over 61.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%6/10Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Joe Burrow out-7.5 REC YDS when he sits
Without (7g)
61.0 REC YDS
57% over 61.5
With (4g)
68.5 REC YDS
50% over 61.5
Last matchup — vs CLE
Jan 4, 2026
28thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CLE allows 37.7 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 49 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tee Higgins has gone over 61.5 REC YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 55% across the full season. CLE has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 28th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (37.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 28.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.