Arizona Cardinals

Tip Reiman Targets

Stats updated: Oct 5, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tip Reiman has gone over 1.5 TGT in 1 of his last 3 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Illinois
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksTargets · season avg 1.7 TGT · our line

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OutTip Reiman isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Ankle Not Specified
Est. return:: Aug 6, 2026

Reiman suffered a season-ending ankle injury in early October of 2025, but was tracking to be ready to participate in training camp. Evidently, the ankle issue is causing a lingering problem for the tight end, and it remains unclear when he will be able to return to the field. Reiman is set to be the No. 2 tight end behind Trey McBride entering the 2026 season, and will likely handle his fair share of blocking duties for the run game headed by first-round draft pick Jeremiyah Love.

Verdict

vs 1.5 TGTTargets

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 53% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it

Projection vs line53neutral

Consistency6argues against it

Projection

1.7 TGT

L5 1.7 · L10 1.7 · med 1.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 2.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 53 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Last 103 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Last 203 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Season3 games

33%over

1 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 6%–79%

Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)

TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TGT line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	3/3
1.5Current	33%	1/3
	33%	1/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3

Last 3 games — TGT per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%1/2Low

Last matchup — vs TEN

Oct 5, 2025

14thof 32 in TGT allowed to tight ends

TEN allows 3.7 TGT per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 32 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 3 games, Tip Reiman has gone over 1.5 TGT 1 of 3 decided times (33%) — versus 33% across the full season. TEN has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 14th-most TGT of 32 teams (3.7 per game). His game-to-game TGT have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.