Pittsburgh Steelers

Travis Homer Targets

Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Travis Homer has gone over 0.5 TGT in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Miami
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksTargets · season avg 0.0 TGT · our line

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OutTravis Homer isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Homer is likely to be elevated again for the Steelers' Week 3 matchup against the Bengals due to the injury to Rico Dowdle (toe). Homer had two carries for 16 yards coupled with 10 special-teams snaps in Sunday's loss to the Patriots. The veteran back should serve as the No. 3 backfield option behind Jaylen Warren and Eli Heidenreich if Dowdle cannot suit up for next Sunday's contest.

Verdict

vs 0.5 TGTTargets

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 TGT(×0.92 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 52 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 102 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 202 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Season2 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)

TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TGT line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — TGT per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away0%0/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs CIN

Sep 27, 2026

4thof 32 in TGT allowed to running backs

CIN allows 4.0 TGT per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Favorable

The read

Over his last 2 games, Travis Homer has gone over 0.5 TGT 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. CIN has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 4th-most TGT of 32 teams (4.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game TGT have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.