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Las Vegas RaidersTre Tucker
#1 · WR · 5' 8" · 182 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Cincinnati
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 48.4 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTre Tucker isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Per Edwards, there's also been speculation that Las Vegas will consider adding a veteran free agent in the coming weeks, but as things stand, Tucker, who caught 57 passes (on 92 targets) for 696 yards and five TDs in 17 regular-season games in 2025, is in line to serve as a key target for QBs Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza. In that context, the 2023 third-rounder should continue to see enough volume to merit lineup consideration in deeper formats, while his fantasy upside in 2026 is linked to the possibility of improvements in the Raiders' passing game, with both a new head coach (Klint Kubiak) and new starting signal-callers on board.
Verdict
vs 40.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
41.3 REC YDS(×0.98 context)
L5 34.8 · L10 42.4 · med 40.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 28.4 · ceil 59.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 40.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 |
Situational splits
Over 40.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home38%3/8Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days55%6/11Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kirk Cousins out-9.6 REC YDS when he sits
Without (7g)
44.4 REC YDS
57% over 40.5
With (5g)
54.0 REC YDS
40% over 40.5
Last matchup — vs KC
Jan 4, 2026
30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
KC allows 37.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tre Tucker has gone over 40.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. KC has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (37.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 33.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.