Dallas Cowboys

Tyler Goodson Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tyler Goodson has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 0 of his last 6 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Iowa
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.0 RUSH TD · our line

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OutTyler Goodson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Dallas wasn't really able to get anything going on the ground in Week 8, totaling just 93 rushing yards on 39 carries. Just like the offense as a whole, Goodson found a bit more success in the passing game, and he posted his best receiving total since back in 2024. As long as starter Javonte Williams remains available, though, Goodson should stay in a change-of-pace role.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

0.0 RUSH TD(×1.22 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 106 games

0%over

0 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%

Last 206 games

0%over

0 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%

Season6 games

0%over

0 over · 6 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–39%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6

Last 6 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away0%0/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/5Medium

Next matchup — @ IND

Nov 8, 2026

10thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

IND allows 0.5 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 15 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 6 games, Tyler Goodson has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 0 of 6 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. IND has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 10th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.