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New York GiantsTyrone Tracy Jr.
#29 · RB · 5' 11" · 210 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Purdue
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 62.6 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTyrone Tracy Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Skattebo had taken over as the Giants' lead back in 2025, but after sustaining his injury in Week 8, Tracy took on the role, en route to recording 176 carries for 740 yards and two TDs to go along with a 36/288/2 receiving line in 15 regular-season contests. While Skattebo is still ramping up toward full practice participation, he's on track to be "ready to go" ahead of Week 1, thus putting him in a position to reclaim top billing in New York's backfield, though Tracy still figures see his share of touches in 2026 alongside Skattebo, with veteran RB Devin Singletary also in the mix. Eric Gray, Dante Miller and Damon Bankston are also on hand in reserve as training camp approaches.
Verdict
vs 65.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency39argues against it
Projection
71.7 RUSH YDS(×1.02 context)
L5 68.4 · L10 62.6 · med 66.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 38.4 · ceil 74.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Season10 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 65.5Current | 50% | 5/10 | |
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 |
Situational splits
Over 65.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%4/4Low
Away17%1/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days56%5/9Low
With a teammate out
How this RUSH YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jaxson Dart out-6.6 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (3g)
58.0 RUSH YDS
33% over 65.5
With (7g)
64.6 RUSH YDS
57% over 65.5
Last matchup — vs DAL
Jan 4, 2026
19thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
DAL allows 48.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 32 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has gone over 65.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. DAL has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 19th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (48.0 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 22.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.