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Tennessee TitansWan'Dale Robinson Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Dec 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 14.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Kentucky
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 15.5 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutWan'Dale Robinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Robinson signed a four-year, $78 million contract with the Titans in March on the heels of a 16-game, 2025 regular season with the Giants in which he caught 92 of 140 targets for 1,014 yards and four touchdowns, setting career highs in the last two categories. The slot receiver unsurprisingly needed some time to gain familiarity with his new quarterback, but the connection between Robinson and Ward has been trending in the right direction heading into training camp. Robinson will compete for targets in a wide-receiver room that also includes rookie fourth overall pick Carnell Tate, veteran Calvin Ridley and 2025 fourth-round picks Elic Ayomanor and Chimere Dike.
Verdict
vs 14.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 44% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency19argues against it
Projection
16.5 FS(×1.06 context)
L5 17.0 · L10 15.4 · med 14.6
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.1 · ceil 21.5
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2013 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Season13 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 14.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 31% | 4/13 | ||
| 31% | 4/13 |
Situational splits
Over 14.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%2/5Low
Away50%4/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%6/12Low
With a teammate out
How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Cam Ward out-1.6 FS when he sits
Without (3g)
14.3 FS
33% over 14.5
With (10g)
15.9 FS
50% over 14.5
Tony Pollard out-1.6 FS when he sits
Without (3g)
14.3 FS
33% over 14.5
With (10g)
15.9 FS
50% over 14.5
Last matchup — @ LV
Dec 28, 2025
22ndof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
LV allows 8.7 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 65 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 14.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 46% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 22nd-most FS of 32 teams (8.7 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.
More Wan'Dale Robinson research
Wan'Dale Robinson — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Robinson Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Robinson Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Robinson Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.