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Tennessee TitansXavier Restrepo
#87 · WR · 5' 10" · 202 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Nov 30, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Miami
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 26.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutXavier Restrepo isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Restrepo was with Tennessee throughout training camp and initially made the 53-man roster, but he was cut before the team's season opener. He'll now get a look on game day for the first time this season, as fellow wideout Carnell Tate (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday, and Calvin Ridley (hip) is questionable but expected to play. Restrepo saw action in two games as a rookie with the Titans last year, catching three of seven targets for 41 yards.
Verdict
vs 25.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 0% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line5argues against it
Consistency100supports it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
22.3 REC YDS(×0.86 context)
L5 26.0 · L10 26.0 · med 26.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 26.0 · ceil 26.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 25.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 25.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Next matchup — @ CIN
Nov 1, 2026
27thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CIN allows 36.8 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 21 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Xavier Restrepo has gone over 25.5 REC YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 27th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (36.8 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.