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Carolina HurricanesBrandon Bussi
#32 · G · 6' 5" · 220 lb · 43 games
Stats updated: Jun 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Western Michigan
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Saves · season avg 20.9 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 20.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 44% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency52neutral
Projection
19.9 SV(×0.95 context)
L5 22.0 · L10 20.0 · med 19.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 16.0 · ceil 25.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season43 games
51%over
22 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–65%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 29/43 | ||
| 56% | 24/43 | ||
| 53% | 23/43 | ||
| 20.5Current | 51% | 22/43 | |
| 44% | 19/43 | ||
| 42% | 18/43 | ||
| 30% | 13/43 |
Situational splits
Over 20.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home36%8/22Medium
Away67%14/21Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day44%4/9Low
2 days58%7/12Low
3+ days50%10/20Medium
Last matchup — @ VGK
Jun 15, 2026
14thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
VGK allows 24.7 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 105 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brandon Bussi has gone over 20.5 SV 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 51% across the full season. VGK has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 14th-most SV of 32 teams (24.7 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.