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Edmonton OilersConnor Ingram
#39 · G · 6' 2" · 196 lb · 35 games
Stats updated: May 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 23.1 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 24.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 48% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)49neutral
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency57neutral
Projection
25.3 SV(×1.01 context)
L5 26.8 · L10 23.2 · med 25.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 18.0 · ceil 28.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season35 games
49%over
17 over · 18 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–64%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 24/35 | ||
| 60% | 21/35 | ||
| 54% | 19/35 | ||
| 24.5Current | 49% | 17/35 | |
| 46% | 16/35 | ||
| 37% | 13/35 | ||
| 26% | 9/35 |
Situational splits
Over 24.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home48%11/23Medium
Away50%6/12Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day45%5/11Low
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days44%7/16Medium
Last matchup — @ ANA
May 1, 2026
3rdof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
ANA allows 27.5 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 94 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Connor Ingram has gone over 24.5 SV 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 49% across the full season. ANA has been a favorable matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 3rd-most SV of 32 teams (27.5 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 49%.