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Los Angeles KingsDarcy Kuemper
#35 · G · 6' 5" · 215 lb · 47 games
Stats updated: Apr 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 13 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 22.9 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 22.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)44neutral
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency56neutral
Projection
20.2 SV(×0.96 context)
L5 19.0 · L10 20.5 · med 21.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 19.0 · ceil 27.8
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
35%over
7 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%Season47 games
51%over
24 over · 23 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–65%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32/47 | ||
| 68% | 32/47 | ||
| 53% | 25/47 | ||
| 22.5Current | 51% | 24/47 | |
| 43% | 20/47 | ||
| 30% | 14/47 | ||
| 28% | 13/47 |
Situational splits
Over 22.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home58%14/24Medium
Away43%10/23Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day47%9/19Medium
2 days64%7/11Low
3+ days57%8/14Low
Last matchup — @ VAN
Apr 15, 2026
21stof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
VAN allows 23.4 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 81 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Darcy Kuemper has gone over 22.5 SV 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 51% across the full season. VAN has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 21st-most SV of 32 teams (23.4 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.